Saturday, October 03, 2009

January through September temperature and rainfall for 2009


The following is a portion of my February 3, March 3, April 14, May 2, June 2, July 2, August 5, and September 2, 2009 posts:

“For January of 2008 according to the Peoria Journal Star, February 1, 2008, page B6 and February 2, 2008, page B8; the temperature average departure for the month (of January) was +2.9°. The month precipitation was 3.22” with the normal precipitation amount being 1.50”. Consequently, Peoria was 1.72 inches of rain above the normal amount. If the same averages continue for the remainder of the year, the average temperature will be 34.8° above normal and the average rainfall will be 20.64” higher than average. Do you think that will occur?

The year of 2008 is now completed. Was the average temperature departure for the year 34.8° above normal? Of course not. Was the average rainfall for the year 20.64” higher than normal? No. However, the average rainfall was above the norm and did approach the 20.64” that the month of January seemed to allude to.

By the end of December, the average temperature for Peoria, Illinois was NOT above normal. It was actually 0.2° below normal—NOT exactly an ‘Al Gore type’ of global warming that is being predicted. The average rainfall was 10.47 inches above normal—36.10 inches is normal for the year while Peoria actually had a total of 46.57 inches of rain. (Peoria Journal Star, January 1, 2009, page B6)

This January (2009) is basically the reverse of the January in 2008. According to the Peoria Journal Star February 1, 2009, page B6, the average temperature departure for the month of January was -4.0°. The temperature for the month was an average of 4° below normal. If the same averages continue for the remainder of the year, the average temperature will be 48° below normal. Do you believe that will happen? I sure pray not!

In contrast to 2008, the month to date rainfall for January in Peoria was .72” while the normal average rainfall is 1.5” for the month of January. Consequently, after one month the average rainfall is .78” below normal. If this trend continues for the rest of the year, Peoria will have less rainfall—9.36 inches less or if using percentages, which would be even more damaging, less than half of the rainfall for a normal year. Do you believe that will happen? I sure pray not! It would probably be a poor year for farming if it does.

As is often the case, February 2009 reversed the trend of January 2009. According to the Peoria Journal Star on March 1, 2009 page B6, February was warmer than normal. In fact, February was 3.1° warmer than normal. The rainfall was higher than normal too—2.02” instead of the normal 1.67” for February. Even so, the temperature for the first two months is still below normal at -0.7° and the rainfall is also still below normal at 2.74” instead of the normal 3.17”—.43” below normal. However, both the temperatures and the rainfall are moving closer to the normal amounts.

The reversal continues! March 2009 continued the higher than normal temperatures of February. According to the Peoria Journal Star on April 1, 2009 page B6, March too was warmer than normal. In fact, March was 2.7° warmer than normal. Not higher than February but in the same range. The rainfall for March was also much higher than normal—7.49” instead of the normal 2.83”. The reversal is complete. The temperature for the first three months is now 0.5° above normal and the rainfall is also above normal at 10.23” instead of the normal 6.00”—4.23” above normal. It now seems we might have both a hot and wet year! The temperature changed in two months from -4.0° to +0.5°. A +4.5° change. In the meantime, the rainfall changed in two months from -.78” to +4.23” which is a change of about 5”.

April’s temperature and rainfall figures are now available. (Peoria Journal Star, May 1, 2009, page B6) April’s temperature was slightly below normal by -.3°. The average departure for the year decreased slightly from +.5° to +.3°. Peoria is now +.3° above normal for the first four months of the year.

Rainfall continues to be more than normal. The rainfall for the month was 6.64” while the normal is 3.56”. For the first four months of the year, rainfall is now 7.31” above normal—the normal is 9.56” and the rainfall to date is 16.87”. From news reports, farmers have not yet been able to get into the fields to plant. Hopefully, we will soon have enough dry days to allow planting. If not, ……………

May’s temperature and rainfall figures as published in the Peoria Journal Star, June 1, 2009, page B6 include the following: May’s temperature was slightly above normal by +.3°. However, the average departure for the year did not change remaining at +.3°. Peoria is still +.3° above normal for the first five months of the year. Yet, rainfall continues to be above normal. The rainfall for the month was 5.74” while the normal is 4.17”. For the first five months of the year, rainfall is now 8.92” above normal—the normal is 13.73” and the rainfall to date is 22.65”. Could the “Al Gore gang” be right?

June’s temperature and rainfall figures as published in the Peoria Journal Star, July 1, 2009, page B6 include the following: June’s temperature was above normal by +1.3°. The average departure for the year changed from +.3° to +.4°. Peoria is +.4° above normal for the first half of the year. Still, rainfall continues to be above normal. The rainfall for the month was 4.76” while the normal is 3.84”. For the first half of the year, rainfall is now 9.84” above normal—the normal is 17.57” and the rainfall to date is 27.41”. Warmer than normal and much more rain than normal so far this year.

July’s temperature and rainfall figures as published in the Peoria Journal Star, August 1, 2009, page B6 include a stunning reversal: July’s temperature plunged downward by -4.4° below normal even lower than the -4° of January. The average departure for the year reversed course from +.4° to -.3°—a change of -.7°. Rainfall also changed direction but not nearly as drastically. The rainfall for the month was 3.91” while the normal is 4.02”. Rainfall is now 9.73” above normal—the normal is 21.59” and the rainfall to date is 31.32”. It is now cooler than normal but with much more rain than normal so far this year.

Some side notes for July in Peoria and Illinois:

July was the coolest July on record in Peoria. There was not a single day that reached 90° or above. This has happened only one other time in the recorded history of temperatures for Peoria. July was the coolest July on record for Illinois. However, the rainfall for the State was above normal although slightly below for Peoria.

Could this possibly be “Al Gore’s Global Warming?” If so, how cool would it have been otherwise? You think the President of the United States, who is from Illinois, noticed? Do you think he cares? Do you think he’s following science?”

August’s temperature and rainfall figures:

August’s temperature and rainfall figures as published in the Peoria Journal Star, September 1, 2009, page B6 continues the stunning reversal of temperatures started in July but not to the extent of the July reversal: August’s temperature continued downward by -2.6° below normal. The average departure for the year continues its reversed course from -.3° to -.6°. The reversal is now over a degree lower than the March high of +.5°—a reversal of -1.1°.

Rainfall, in the meantime, switched back to being higher than normal. The rainfall for the month was 4.65” while the normal is 3.16”. Rainfall is now 11.22” above normal—the normal is 24.75” and the rainfall to date is 35.97”. It continues to be cooler than normal but with much more rain than normal so far this year.

Someone should tell the weather in Peoria to cut it out. It’s not behaving like an “Al Gore type of Global Warming.” How is that possible? But wait, the National Weather Service is predicting a warmer than normal winter. But wait, according to the Peoria Journal Star, September 1, 2009, page B5, the Farmers’ Almanac is predicting that the winter in most of the United States will feature numbing cold including the Peoria area. Personally, I hope the National Weather Service is correct—not the Almanac.

The September temperature and rainfall figures as published in the Peoria Journal Star, October 1, 2009, page B6: September stopped and reversed the temperature decline that started in July. September’s temperature was higher than normal by +0.9°. The average departure for the year inched back toward normal falling from -.6° to -.4°.

Rainfall, in the meantime, continued being slightly higher than normal. The rainfall for the month was 3.53” while the normal is 3.12”. Rainfall is now 11.63” above normal—the normal is 27.87” and the rainfall to date is 39.5”. Furthermore, with three months left in the year, rainfall is already higher than the normal of 36.10 inches which was the normal amount as of December 2008 before factoring in the 2008 total. Even if there was no moisture for the rest of the year, Peoria will be above normal for the 2nd year in a row. It continues to be cooler than normal but with much more rain than normal so far this year.

This is what the Bible says about our climate: “Then Noah built an altar to the Lord and, taking some of all the clean animals and clean birds, he sacrificed burnt offerings on it. The Lord smelled the pleasing aroma and said in his heart: ‘Never again will I curse the ground because of man, even though every inclination of his heart is evil from childhood. And never again will I destroy all living creatures, as I have done.

As long as the earth endures, seedtime and harvest, cold and heat, summer and winter, day and night will never cease.’” Genesis 8: 20-22 (NIV)

This is what the Bible says about GOD’S promises: “‘God is not a man, that he should lie, nor a son of man, that he should change his mind. Does he speak and then not act? Does he promise and not fulfill?’” Numbers 23: 19 (NIV)

Now, let me think. Should I believe “Al Gore and his cohorts’ prediction of “Global Warming” fifty years into the future or should I believe GOD’S sure PROMISE?

GOD’S PROMISE: “‘As long as the earth endures, seedtime and harvest, cold and heat, summer and winter, day and night will never cease.’”

Al Gore’s fantasy prediction 50 years into the future: catastrophe of man’s own making

The winner is:

As I’ve said before, no human can accurately predict what the weather is going to be like 50 years from today. We have difficulty predicting with 100% accuracy what the weather is going to be like seven days from now. This I do know. If GOD wants global warming as predicted by the “Al Gore gang” to occur, there is NOTHING man can do to stop it. If GOD doesn’t want global warming to occur, it won’t, no matter what man does. Of course, GOD could always let man proceed as they choose without HIS hand in it either way. I don’t know what will occur 50 years from now and NEITHER DOES any other human on this planet!

This I also know. If I were living a life of SIN, I’d be more concerned about what GOD will do today and tomorrow or what will happen to me after my death (none of us has a guarantee that we will live another fifty years) than what is going to occur in another 50 years!!!

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