Doug Hoffman, polls, and tomorrow’s election
I’ve been following four races that should be decided tomorrow—November 3rd—in the States of Ohio, New Jersey, Virginia, and New York. The Ohio contest deals with approving or rejecting casino gambling in the State and I posted information on that Saturday night. I haven’t checked any polls on the possible outcome but am praying for its defeat. The New Jersey Governor’s race is a three way contest—Democrat incumbent, Republican challenger, and Independent challenger. I heard on the radio Sunday (SRN—Salem Radio News) that the race was close and President Barack Hussein Obama campaigned for the Democratic incumbent Sunday. One source I read said that this is a typical pattern but the Democrat pulls it out in the end. There hasn’t been a Republican governor in years. I’m not familiar with New Jersey politics so I don’t know if that is true or not. It is normally difficult to defeat an incumbent and a third candidate adds an extra wrinkle. Turnout is probably going to be an important factor. In Virginia, there is no incumbent—the Democratic governor is barred from running for reelection—and the Republican has a seemingly comfortable double digit lead according to polls. Tonight, a brief look at the Congressional race in the 23rd District of New York and the polls on that race.
According to the New York Post newspaper, as quoted on Doug Hoffman’s website, http://www.doughoffmanforcongress.com/, “the Republican candidate in that race, Assemblywoman Dede Scozzafava, is the product of an obscenely corrupt political bargain by GOP bosses that sells out their party—and New Yorkers generally.” Because of the selection of Scozzafava, Doug Hoffman, who had no previous political experience, (according to his website) decided to run for the office as the candidate of the Conservative Party.
The following polling information is from http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ and shows the progress of Doug Hoffman as the major opponent to the Democratic candidate. The three candidates are Doug Hoffman for the Conservative Party, Dede Scozzafava for the Republican Party, and Bill Owens for the Democratic Party. Different polls are cited by http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ at different times and I’m not exactly sure why that is. The margin of error for each poll is not given although they usually run from 3 to 5% depending upon the number of people polled. The information as given on Real Clear’s website and put into my format:
1) McLaughlin (R)—poll reported by, date(s) of the poll—8/25-8/26, number of likely voters polled—300 LV, Hoffman—16%, Owens—17%, Scozzafava—26%, Scozzafava +9% lead.
2) CFG/Basswood Research (R)—poll reported by, date(s) of the poll—9/17-9/17, number of likely voters polled—300 LV, Hoffman—17%, Owens—17%, Scozzafava—20%, Scozzafava +3% lead.
3) Siena—poll reported by, date(s) of the poll—9/27-9/29, number of likely voters polled—622 LV, Hoffman—16%, Owens—28%, Scozzafava—35%, Scozzafava +7% lead.
4) Siena—poll reported by, date(s) of the poll—10/11-10/13, number of likely voters polled—617 LV, Hoffman—23%, Owens—33%, Scozzafava—29%, Owens +4% lead. (An important period for Hoffman as Scozzafava loses significant support which he seems to pick up—my addition.)
5) Daily Kos/R2000—poll reported by, date(s) of the poll—10/19-10/21, number of likely voters polled—600 LV, Hoffman—23%, Owens—35%, Scozzafava—30%, Owens +5% lead.
6) CFG/Basswood Research (R)—poll reported by, date(s) of the poll—10/24-10/25, number of likely voters polled—300 LV, Hoffman—31%, Owens—27%, Scozzafava—20%, Hoffman +4% lead. (First time Hoffman is shown leading in any of the polls given—my addition.)
7) Minuteman/Neighborhood (R)—poll reported by, date(s) of the poll—10/25-10/26, number of likely voters polled—366 LV, Hoffman—34%, Owens—29%, Scozzafava—14%, Hoffman +5% lead.
8) Daily Kos/R2000— poll reported by, date(s) of the poll—10/26-10/28, number of likely voters polled—600 LV, Hoffman—32%, Owens—33%, Scozzafava—21%, Owens +1% lead.
The above was the last poll available. I tried Saturday night to check for later polls but had computer problems and had to exit the internet. As I said, the margin of error is probably between 3 to 5% so the race as of October 28th is too close to call. Obviously, Scozzafava’s suspension of her participation and now endorsement of the Democrat candidate will have some impact. Also, even with this last poll, there are 14% of the likely voters who are undecided. And, of course, a lot depends upon getting your supporters out to the polls to vote. This should be an interesting race to the end.
I plan on giving the results of the four races after the vote. In the meantime, pray, get to the polls, and:
VOTE for Doug Hoffman—New York 23rd Congressional District
VOTE for Chris Christie—for New Jersey Governor
VOTE for Bob McDonnell—for Virginia Governor
VOTE against legalized casino gambling in Ohio
I’ve been following four races that should be decided tomorrow—November 3rd—in the States of Ohio, New Jersey, Virginia, and New York. The Ohio contest deals with approving or rejecting casino gambling in the State and I posted information on that Saturday night. I haven’t checked any polls on the possible outcome but am praying for its defeat. The New Jersey Governor’s race is a three way contest—Democrat incumbent, Republican challenger, and Independent challenger. I heard on the radio Sunday (SRN—Salem Radio News) that the race was close and President Barack Hussein Obama campaigned for the Democratic incumbent Sunday. One source I read said that this is a typical pattern but the Democrat pulls it out in the end. There hasn’t been a Republican governor in years. I’m not familiar with New Jersey politics so I don’t know if that is true or not. It is normally difficult to defeat an incumbent and a third candidate adds an extra wrinkle. Turnout is probably going to be an important factor. In Virginia, there is no incumbent—the Democratic governor is barred from running for reelection—and the Republican has a seemingly comfortable double digit lead according to polls. Tonight, a brief look at the Congressional race in the 23rd District of New York and the polls on that race.
According to the New York Post newspaper, as quoted on Doug Hoffman’s website, http://www.doughoffmanforcongress.com/, “the Republican candidate in that race, Assemblywoman Dede Scozzafava, is the product of an obscenely corrupt political bargain by GOP bosses that sells out their party—and New Yorkers generally.” Because of the selection of Scozzafava, Doug Hoffman, who had no previous political experience, (according to his website) decided to run for the office as the candidate of the Conservative Party.
The following polling information is from http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ and shows the progress of Doug Hoffman as the major opponent to the Democratic candidate. The three candidates are Doug Hoffman for the Conservative Party, Dede Scozzafava for the Republican Party, and Bill Owens for the Democratic Party. Different polls are cited by http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ at different times and I’m not exactly sure why that is. The margin of error for each poll is not given although they usually run from 3 to 5% depending upon the number of people polled. The information as given on Real Clear’s website and put into my format:
1) McLaughlin (R)—poll reported by, date(s) of the poll—8/25-8/26, number of likely voters polled—300 LV, Hoffman—16%, Owens—17%, Scozzafava—26%, Scozzafava +9% lead.
2) CFG/Basswood Research (R)—poll reported by, date(s) of the poll—9/17-9/17, number of likely voters polled—300 LV, Hoffman—17%, Owens—17%, Scozzafava—20%, Scozzafava +3% lead.
3) Siena—poll reported by, date(s) of the poll—9/27-9/29, number of likely voters polled—622 LV, Hoffman—16%, Owens—28%, Scozzafava—35%, Scozzafava +7% lead.
4) Siena—poll reported by, date(s) of the poll—10/11-10/13, number of likely voters polled—617 LV, Hoffman—23%, Owens—33%, Scozzafava—29%, Owens +4% lead. (An important period for Hoffman as Scozzafava loses significant support which he seems to pick up—my addition.)
5) Daily Kos/R2000—poll reported by, date(s) of the poll—10/19-10/21, number of likely voters polled—600 LV, Hoffman—23%, Owens—35%, Scozzafava—30%, Owens +5% lead.
6) CFG/Basswood Research (R)—poll reported by, date(s) of the poll—10/24-10/25, number of likely voters polled—300 LV, Hoffman—31%, Owens—27%, Scozzafava—20%, Hoffman +4% lead. (First time Hoffman is shown leading in any of the polls given—my addition.)
7) Minuteman/Neighborhood (R)—poll reported by, date(s) of the poll—10/25-10/26, number of likely voters polled—366 LV, Hoffman—34%, Owens—29%, Scozzafava—14%, Hoffman +5% lead.
8) Daily Kos/R2000— poll reported by, date(s) of the poll—10/26-10/28, number of likely voters polled—600 LV, Hoffman—32%, Owens—33%, Scozzafava—21%, Owens +1% lead.
The above was the last poll available. I tried Saturday night to check for later polls but had computer problems and had to exit the internet. As I said, the margin of error is probably between 3 to 5% so the race as of October 28th is too close to call. Obviously, Scozzafava’s suspension of her participation and now endorsement of the Democrat candidate will have some impact. Also, even with this last poll, there are 14% of the likely voters who are undecided. And, of course, a lot depends upon getting your supporters out to the polls to vote. This should be an interesting race to the end.
I plan on giving the results of the four races after the vote. In the meantime, pray, get to the polls, and:
VOTE for Doug Hoffman—New York 23rd Congressional District
VOTE for Chris Christie—for New Jersey Governor
VOTE for Bob McDonnell—for Virginia Governor
VOTE against legalized casino gambling in Ohio
posted by Christian Gunslinger at 3:53 AM
0 Comments:
Post a Comment
<< Home