From: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1010/43362.html
“The latest Dem concern: Raul Grijalva
By JONATHAN ALLEN & SCOTT WONG
10/9/10 7: 10 PM EDT
Add Rep. Raul Grijalva to the growing list of Democratic worries this election season.
Party operatives say there’s increasing concern that the Arizona Democrat’s reelection bid could turn into a ‘sleeper’ race for Republicans after Grijalva—responding to enactment of a tough new immigration law—called for an economic boycott of his own state amid a housing crisis and record unemployment.
Four Democratic sources from different parts of the country said that there is new attention to a race that was long considered in the bag.
And a recent poll (http://www.politico.com/static/PPM136_101010_grijalva_poll.html), obtained by POLITICO, found that Grijalva and Republican challenger Ruth McClung, a real-life rocket scientist, were in a dead heat, even though Washington prognosticators have declared the deep-blue seat safely Democratic.
As they work to buttress their majority against a coming Republican storm, Democrats can ill afford to spend time or resources defending incumbents in seats where they should have a clear advantage. But the Grijalva seat potentially being in play is a sign of the increasingly expanding Republican playing field for the midterm elections.
One Democratic source familiar with the Congressional Hispanic Caucus said there are ‘whispers’ about the Grijalva-McClung matchup ‘being a sleeper race.’
The source went on to note that at a recent CHC meeting focused on whether to give money to vulnerable Reps. John Salazar (D-Colo.), Ciro Rodriguez (D-Texas) and others, Rep. Xavier Becerra (D-Calif.) made a strong push for CHC to donate to Grijalva’s campaign.
CHC’s Building Our Leadership’s Diversity PAC ‘doesn’t normally give unless a candidate really needs it,’ the source said. ‘[Grijalva] made a major misstep in calling for a boycott of his own state. He should win, though. But anything is possible this year, especially in Arizona where the Republicans and anti-incumbents are apparently very fired up.’
BOLD PAC doled out $5,000 to Grijalva on Sept. 29, just before the close of the third quarter. As of his last accounting in early August, Grijalva had less than $80,000 in his treasury. McClung had less than $20,000 at last check.
A recent poll by Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies found that among likely voters Grijalva is leading McClung 40 percent to 38 percent, well within the margin of error of 3.7 percentage points. Thirteen percent of those surveyed were undecided, while 9 percent backed other candidates.
Those results may or may not be an accurate reflection of the state of the campaign. Colorado-based Magellan serves mostly Republican clients and the poll of 686 likely voters on Sept. 29 was an automated telephone poll, generally considered less reliable than those conducted by live callers.
Magellan CEO David Flaherty said his firm was hired by a ‘private client’ and did not conduct the poll for any of the candidates’ campaigns.
Southwestern Arizona’s sprawling House District 7, more than half of whose residents are Hispanic, stretches along 300 miles of the Arizona-Mexico border. It takes in Yuma, parts of Tucson and some Phoenix suburbs.
There are nearly twice as many registered Democrats as Republicans in the district. In 2008, Grijalva, co-chairman of the Congressional Progressive Caucus, routed GOP challenger Joseph Sweeney 63 percent to 33 percent.
But Grijalva’s aides have made clear to members of the Progressive Caucus that they believe they have a real contest on their hands, even as they express confidence they will prevail.
In the past month, conservative pundits have been chattering in blogs and on TV
(http://sonoranalliance.com/2010/09/19/ruth-mcclung-to-upset-raul-grijalva-in-az-cd-7/
—“For those of you finally waking up to this race, it’s time to get involved!
Please make a political contribution to Ruth’s campaign at www.Ruth4AZz.com today. She also needs volunteers across the district which includes La Paz, Yuma, Maricopa, Pinal, Pima and Santa Cruz Counties.
It’s also time for the National Republican Congressional Committee and Arizona Victory Committee to pay attention to this race and make sure Ruth has the resources she needs!) that McClung has closed the gap.
‘I still believe Grijalva will pull this out and remain an Arizona congressman, but the very fact that he is having to work very hard and his folks are concerned demonstrates the Republican tidal wave that is sweeping not only the nation but the state of Arizona this election season,’ said Arizona lobbyist Chris Herstam, a former GOP state lawmaker who served as chief of staff to Gov. Fife Symington in the early 1990s.
‘His positions on the illegal immigration issue and boycotting Arizona have come back to haunt him,’ Herstam added.
Grijalva would join an unmerry band of vulnerable Arizona House Democrats whom Republicans are targeting for defeat on Nov. 2: Reps. Ann Kirkpatrick, Harry Mitchell and Gabrielle Giffords, who all represent GOP-leaning districts and have condemned the Arizona boycott.
‘A boycott is absolutely misguided,’ Giffords said in an interview with Fox News, which was later used in one of her campaign ads. ‘It’s ill-conceived, and it hurts the very people we all say we want to be helping: middle-class American families.’
McClung, a political neophyte and physicist by training, has painted Grijalva as a politician who has betrayed his constituents.
‘We need jobs. We don’t need a hurtful boycott of our state as my opponent demands,’ McClung, a Tucson resident, said in a recent ad. ‘He boycotted us—his own state, his own people.’
Grijalva’s poll numbers are being driven by southwestern Arizona’s distressed economy, Flaherty said. Nearly three in 10 Yuma County residents is out of work—about triple the national unemployment rate.
‘What you’re seeing a lot of is severe disappointment in Arizona’s 7th Congressional District,’ Flaherty said. ‘The voters feel the economy has not gotten better, and they are taking it out on the incumbents. They want a change, regardless of what their party is.’
Some 47 percent of those surveyed said they had an unfavorable view of Grijalva, while 39 percent viewed him favorably. Thirty-six percent said he deserves reelection, while half said it was time to give someone else a chance in Washington.
The economic boycott by cities, counties and organizations has cost Arizona hundreds of millions of dollars from cancelled conventions, hotel rooms and other business.
The Grijalva campaign did not return a call for comment. But Grijalva admitted Thursday it was a ‘mistake’ to endorse the boycott after GOP Gov. Jan Brewer signed the controversial immigration bill into law—not because of the harm it did to the economy but because it had not pressured Republican leaders to overturn the law.
‘On my part it was a strategic mistake to call for the boycott,’ he acknowledged during a radio debate on KAWC in Yuma. ‘I felt that it would have an impact on the leadership of this state ... but the fact of the matter is that they’re not going to change their mind.’”
Ruth McClung’s website: http://ruth4az.com/index.html
From the website:
“Promote Life and Family. I am pro-life. Human life, from the youngest to the oldest, is of the highest value and must be defended. I support legislation that protects families. Married couples should not be penalized by our tax system. I also oppose cruel treatment of animals.”
“Protecting the value of life
an op-ed by
Ruth McClung
August 2009
The value of life should not be taken lightly. Should I be elected, I would stand for the life of unborn babies. I would stand for protection of our elderly. I would also fight to defend animals against cruelty. Society must stand for those who cannot defend themselves or society is lost.
President Lyndon B Johnson said, ‘You know, doing what is right is easy. The problem is, knowing what is right.’ I believe this statement is applicable to abortion.
I doubt that many would argue that the taking of an innocent life is wrong. The argument then begins with the question, ‘When does that life become a baby.’ Since I have an aunt and a cousin that both spent less time in the womb than many late term abortion babies, I cannot believe that those babies are not fully human and do not deserve the full rights of humans, including the right to life. I will support the U.S. Supreme Court’s decision upholding the Partial-Birth Abortion Ban Act. My opponent is one of the 71 co-sponsors of H.R. 1964, which would nullify the national ban on partial-birth abortion.
I am also convinced that the humanity of a baby has nothing to do with whether or not it is in the womb. At a ‘million cells’ is it just cells, then at a ‘million and one cells’ is it human? There is no dividing line between non-life and life. We cannot devalue a human life in this way. We must stand for life from the first cell! If not, then we start down a dangerous path that will quickly lead to a culture of death in our society. Is it not always better to error on the side of life? (YES!—my addition)
I do not believe that many would suggest a young girl should do something that would cause her emotional pain for the rest of her life. This brings me to the second life that abortion hurts—it is the life of the would-be mother. We are giving young girls a huge choice that will affect them for the rest of their lives. We need a society that stands up for these girls. I understand that a girl may not be able to take care of a child at that point in her life, but I can say with surety, that there will always be a family waiting to adopt that child. This will release that girl from the emotional burden that she may carry for the rest of her life.
Together, let’s stand for the value of life.
Ruth McClung for US Congress Arizona CD 7”
“Ruth McClung, a physicist who is currently working as a rocket scientist at a local engineering company, wants to use her knowledge to help the people of Southern Arizona, and the United States by serving in the U.S. Congress. Ruth’s educational and work background give her an advantage over most candidates. She understands the science behind some very important issues such as energy, the environment, technology, defense, and national security. With her scientific background, politicians using pseudo-science to push an agenda will not fool her. And since she has worked in the defense industry, she understands the need for defense and the types of technologies which are needed to make us safer. She also understands where potential waste in the defense industry might be.
Ruth has been interested in politics since she was teenager, when in Idaho her father served as a Republican County Chairman. She helped out in campaigns, volunteered in the Republican headquarters, helped in special county events, and was acquainted with many of the politicians. Her interest in serving her community through politics has grown through the years, and has led her to run for office.
Ruth has lived in the west her whole life. Besides living in Arizona, she has lived in California, New Mexico, and Idaho. She moved to Tucson, Arizona in 2000 to go to college. ‘I love living in the West.’ explains Ruth, ‘I love the diverse mixture of cultures and the frontier spirit that seems to exist in all the people of the west.’
Ruth was raised in a family that stressed hard work and financial responsibility. This philosophy led her to choose Pima Community College for her first two years of school. She paid for college through a tennis scholarship, a job at Del Taco, and a job as a lab assistant in the Engineering and Physics departments, at Pima. After finishing her first year at Pima she was able to get a job at a local engineering company as an intern. She continued with that job through college and is currently working with the same company.
After receiving her credits at Pima College, she transferred to the University of Arizona in August of 2002. In May of 2004, she received her Bachelor of Science in Physics from the University of Arizona.
Ruth is an amateur painter whose art has been in several local galleries and one in Texas. She loves to draw and would like to someday write and illustrate educational children’s books. She also enjoys spending time in nature by doing things like—rock climbing, hiking, back packing, mountaineering, and gardening, as well as playing tennis.
Faith and family are very important to Ruth. Ruth is a Christian and believes that faith and reason go together. She also feels lucky to live so near to much of her family in southern Arizona. The greater Tucson area is home to her parents, one of her brothers and his family, and her aunt, uncle and cousins.
In June of 2005, she married Michael McClung. Michael received his Bachelor of Science in Physics and Engineering Physics at Christian Brothers University before moving to Tucson. He received his Master of Science in Physics at the University of Arizona, where he and Ruth met.
In 2007, Ruth and Michael decided that their American Dream included starting a business. Michael went back to the University of Arizona to get his Masters in Business Administration, and Ruth supported him. Ruth and Michael presently work for the same engineering company, while Ruth runs for Congress and Michael continues working on research to start his own company.
Ruth McClung for US Congress Arizona CD 7”
http://ruth4az.com/index.html
Some background information about Arizona Congressional District 7: The 7th District was created in 1992 after the 1990 census allowed Arizona to have an additional seat. It was redrawn to some extent after the 2000 census. Since its creation, it has always had a Democratic Representative. The first Representative was Ed Pastor who is now the Representative for Congressional District 4. District 4 and 7 are probably the two heaviest leaning Democratic Congressional Districts in the State of 8.
I lived in Tucson before moving back to Illinois in 2004. I am familiar with Raul Grijalva. Raul Grijalva was first elected in District 7 in 2002 after redistricting. However, he was not new to the political scene. He had been a member of the County Board of Supervisors before then. From my recollection, he has been arrogant—calling for a boycott against his own State—throughout his career much like Barack Hussein Obama.
Three things to take from the first article:
1) He is a “progressive.” Translation: He is a socialist!
2) He actually had the audacity to call for a boycott of the State of a Arizona—a State that he represents in Congress.
3) He did not apologize for calling for the boycott because the boycott was wrong. He apologized because the boycott did not change the minds of the elected officials in Arizona. Thus, even though he is a long time Arizona politician, he was incapable of understanding the mood of the electorate when it came to the issue of illegal immigration—or else he just didn’t care what the electorate thought on this issue. “Grijalva knows best!” Or not!
A fourth point:
4) Although I could find no such reference on his website, he supports the MURDER of unborn babies although he identifies himself as a Catholic.
This may be a once in a lifetime opportunity to REMOVE this guy from office. Ruth McClung needs your support, your donations, and your VOTE, if you are a registered voter within the District!
http://ruth4az.com/index.html
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