Public opinion polls and the Presidential election

My book—The Black Sword: The Secret U.S. Army in Vietnam—is available by mail (not yet in book stores). See post on July 31, 2008 entitled The Black Sword.

I suggest you check out the following website if you are a policy holder of Farmers Insurance Group or thinking about having them insure you in any capacity: www.farmersinsurancegroupsucks.com




https://affiliates.visionforum.com/idevaffiliate.php?id=367


The above link is for a company—Vision Forum—that provides unique products for the family. I am an affiliate for the company and receive a small commission whenever someone uses this link and then makes an unreturned purchase while using the link. Check it out. I think you might like the products offered. I do. See my more complete explanation on my post of February 1, 2008 entitled “Affiliate program with Vision Forum.”

Based upon past historical data: 3,287+ UNBORN BABY MURDERS have occurred in the last 24 hours in the United States. See my post “BABY HOLOCAUST” posted January 22, 2008.

I’ve been involved in a problem one of my clients has with Farmers Insurance Group. My previous posts in relation to this problem were:

September 10, 2007 post: “Beware of Farmers Insurance Group”
September 11, 2007 post: “Farmers Insurance Group’s response”
September 18, 2007 post: “Farmers Insurance Company received the requested list”
September 19, 2007 post: “Farmers Insurance Company’s response to the list”
October 16, 2007 post: “Farmers Insurance Group and my request for information”
November 27, 2007 post: “Farmers Insurance Group does not respond to my request”
January 11, 2008 post: “Farmers Insurance Group latest stall”
January 12, 2008 post: “Farmers Insurance Group is sent a response”
January 14, 2008 post: “Farmers Insurance Group pays some money”
January 19, 2008 post: “Farmers Insurance Group continues to be obstinate”
January 26, 2008 post: “Farmers Insurance Group receives another request”
February 11, 2008 post: “Farmers Insurance Group shows how low they will go?”
February 12, 2008 post: “Farmers Insurance Group: If I were going to respond to the final letter”
February 13, 2008 post: “Farmers Insurance Group and associated companies”
February 14, 2008 post: “Farmers Insurance Group and how others rate the company”

I will not be continuing my Creationism posts today. I do plan to return to them soon.

Then, I plan to answer the response about Iraq. I am sorry for the change in plans. Plans, in reality, often are altered for one reason or another. “The best laid plans … often go astray.” Thank you for your understanding and patience.

How many unborn toddlers were murdered today because of the humanistic, paganish, barbaric decisions of the United States Supreme Court?

Stop the
Murder of
Unborn
Toddlers

“Anyone, then, who knows the good he ought to do and doesn’t do it, sins.” James 4: 17 (NIV)

www.farmersinsurancegroupsucks.com

www.childpredators.com

www.lifedynamics.com

www.libertylegal.org

www.alliancedefensefund.org

www.searchtv.org

Up until this week, most public opinion polls, that I have seen or heard the results of, had Barack Obama leading with leads as high as a 6% difference. This week according to CNN’s poll of polls (which is an average of a compilation of polls—it was bound to happen), the election is virtually dead even with a 1% separation.

So, what is the significance of this latest poll? Like all the others, not much. In reality, even with a perfectly drawn poll, it is too early to give it or any other much credence.

However, based on past experience, expect the following events to occur. (This is a generalization and may not actually occur although it normally does.) Since the Democratic Party’s National Convention is next week, Barack Obama will get a boost from the hoopla of the convention and pull away from John McCain to some extent. After the Republican Party’s National Convention, John McCain will get a boost from the hoopla of the convention and pull closer to Senator Obama but not by as much because the libertine press will label the convention a “disaster,” or “disappointing,” or some other such negative term.

Over the following weeks there will be varying variations in the polls usually based upon events or situational reasons—i.e. one of the candidates might make a perceived blunder of one type or another. After each of the Presidential debates, the libertine press will proclaim Barack Obama the clear winner of the debate (unless Senator Obama makes a major blunder in a debate that even the press can’t ignore) and he will pull ahead in the public opinion polls.

As the days come closer and closer to the day of the election, the polls will show a tighter and tighter race. Immediately before the election, it will be closer still and some will say the election is too close to call. After the election, the supporters of the losing candidate will declare that if the election had only be held a few days later or earlier, their candidate would have won the election.

Of course, all this is predicated on no major, significant event occurring that will alter the perception of the public—i.e. the capture of Osama bin Laden—or a major, major blunder by one of the candidates—i.e. declaring the economy has never been better. However, remember this. The ONLY “poll” that counts is the VOTE of the people on November 4th. Remember also, that Senator Clinton was considered to be the certain winner of the Democratic Party nomination and, until the New Hampshire primary, no poll had Senator John McCain higher than third. (I didn’t go back and check the accuracy of this statement but I believe it should be accurate. I do know that some in the press were declaring John McCain’s campaign dead in the water.)

In short, the result will be determined by the vote of the people on Election Day not by a public opinion poll. Remember: no poll has ever voted.